GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/30/2023, 3:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

50.6%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatLDLLD

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Alebrijes de OaxacaLWDLD

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Correcaminos UatAlebrijes de Oaxaca
91.7Attack25.0
33.3Defence58.3
58.3Form50.0
62.0Power46.7
1.94xG1.21
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