GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 9/13/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Omaha · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Corpus Christi 1-2 Union Omaha

Original prediction

Union Omaha

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.5025.5%21.8%-3.7 pts
Draw3.4126.3%24.2%-2.1 pts
Away1.8548.2%54.0%5.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.0–113%
  3. 3.0–211%

Predicted outcome

Union Omaha

Probability

54.0%

Model confidence

54.0%

Union Omaha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Corpus ChristiLDLWW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Union OmahaWDLDW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Corpus ChristiUnion Omaha
38.9Attack57.3
52.8Defence64.0
41.7Form65.3
46.5Power63.5
0.86xG1.57
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