GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 5/3/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Corpus Christi are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Spokane Velocity are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Spokane Velocity hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the USL League One, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

37.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Corpus ChristiWLLLD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Spokane VelocityLWWDL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Corpus ChristiSpokane Velocity
38.3Attack43.9
56.7Defence59.6
43.3Form56.1
48.0Power54.3
0.98xG1.07
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