Corpus Christivs
Naples
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 10/11/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Corpus Christi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Corpus Christi 0-1 Naples
Original prediction
Corpus Christi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.2% | 38.5% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.3% | 29.3% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.93 | 30.6% | 32.2% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Corpus Christi
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Corpus Christi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60