Corpus Christivs
Forward Madison
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 9/6/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forward Madison · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Corpus Christi 0-2 Forward Madison
Original prediction
Forward Madison
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 35.9% | 23.1% | -12.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 27.8% | 23.8% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 36.4% | 53.1% | 16.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Forward Madison
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00