Corpus Christivs
Fort Wayne
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 10/8/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fort Wayne · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Corpus Christi 1-3 Fort Wayne
Original prediction
Fort Wayne
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 35.8% | 32.9% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.4% | 29.3% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 37.8% | 37.8% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Fort Wayne
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Fort Wayne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40