GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One Cup · 5/17/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Corpus Christi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Corpus Christi are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while FC Tulsa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Tulsa hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 41.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the USL League One Cup, while Corpus Christi holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Corpus Christi

Probability

36.0%

Model confidence

36.0%

Corpus Christi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Corpus ChristiLDWLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC TulsaWWDDL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Corpus ChristiFC Tulsa
16.7Attack33.3
58.3Defence50.0
33.3Form33.3
39.1Power41.9
1.26xG1.08
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