Corpus Christivs
Boise
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 9/27/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boise · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Corpus Christi 2-1 Boise
Original prediction
Boise
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.88 | 31.0% | 31.8% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.7% | 29.2% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.11 | 42.3% | 39.0% | -3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Boise
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Boise has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Corpus ChristiWLLDL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BoiseDDWWW
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Corpus ChristiBoise
38.5Attack53.1
53.8Defence54.3
42.3Form56.8
47.0Power56.6
1.10xG1.39