GGOALVIO

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/3/2023, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Cornellà are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fuenlabrada are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Fuenlabrada hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (41.7 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

50.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CornellàLW

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
FuenlabradaLLL

GF 0 · GA 4 · avg 0.00/1.33

BTTS 0/3O2.5 0/3
CornellàFuenlabrada
26.3Attack28.1
61.4Defence65.8
30.7Form38.6
41.7Power46.4
0.57xG0.60
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