Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cork City · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Cork City 2-0 Wexford, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cork City 2-0 Wexford
Original prediction
Cork City
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 66.9% | 75.9% | 9.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.71 | 19.2% | 15.6% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 6.50 | 13.9% | 8.6% | -5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.0 pts
Projected Score
Cork City 2–0 Wexford
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Cork City
Probability
75.9%
Model confidence
75.9%
Cork City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Cork CityDWWWL
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
WexfordLLWLW
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cork CityWexford
70.2Attack38.1
70.2Defence51.2
76.2Form40.5
72.4Power45.3
2.40xG0.57