Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cork City · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Cork City are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Wexford are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cork City hold a 27.0-point power-rating edge (73.4 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.2% in the First Division, while Cork City holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cork City
Probability
74.2%
Model confidence
74.2%
Cork City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00