Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Waterford · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cork City are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Waterford are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Waterford hold a 37.5-point power-rating edge (6.8 v 44.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Waterford holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Waterford
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Waterford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00