Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cork City · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Cork City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while UCD are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cork City hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (73.4 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.3% in the First Division, while Cork City holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cork City
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
58.3%
Cork City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60