Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cork City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Cork City are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while UCD are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Cork City hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (35.6 v 17.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.6% in the Premier Division, while Cork City holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cork City
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
54.6%
Cork City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.67