Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kerry · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Cork City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kerry are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kerry hold a 29.4-point power-rating edge (6.8 v 36.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Kerry holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kerry
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Kerry has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00