Cork Cityvs
Finn Harps
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 10/9/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cork City · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Cork City 3-0 Finn Harps, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cork City 2-0 Finn Harps
Original prediction
Cork City
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.11 | 81.4% | 66.3% | -15.1 pts |
| Draw | 7.77 | 11.7% | 18.5% | 6.8 pts |
| Away | 13.05 | 6.9% | 15.3% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.1 pts
Projected Score
Cork City 3–0 Finn Harps
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Cork City
Probability
66.3%
Model confidence
66.3%
Cork City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Cork CityLLWLD
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Finn HarpsLLLWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cork CityFinn Harps
69.6Attack30.4
66.7Defence33.3
69.6Form24.5
68.6Power32.2
3.33xG0.50