Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bohemians · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Cork City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Bohemians are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bohemians hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (35.6 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.5% in the Premier Division, while Bohemians holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bohemians
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
58.5%
Bohemians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80