CoritibavsVasco DA Gama

Coritiba are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Vasco DA Gama are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Coritiba hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Serie A, while Coritiba holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.