Coritibavs
Fortaleza EC
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 4/23/2023, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Coritiba are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (LDDW), averaging 1.75 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Fortaleza EC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.2 against 51.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Serie A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.75/1.75
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80