Corinthians Wvs
São Paulo W
COMPLETEDBrazil · Brasileiro Women · 9/26/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Corinthians W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Corinthians W 1-2 São Paulo W
Original prediction
Corinthians W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 49.8% | 47.5% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 27.8% | 26.3% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.99 | 22.4% | 26.3% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Corinthians W
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Corinthians W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20