Corinthians Wvs
Bahia W
COMPLETEDBrazil · Brasileiro Women · 9/22/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Corinthians W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Corinthians W 1-0 Bahia W
Original prediction
Corinthians W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 70.0% | 52.8% | -17.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.74 | 19.1% | 25.3% | 6.2 pts |
| Away | 8.34 | 10.9% | 22.0% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Corinthians W
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Corinthians W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20