Corinthiansvs
Universitario
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/12/2023, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Corinthians are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Universitario are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Corinthians hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60