GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/21/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Corinthians are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while RB Bragantino are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 57.3 against 58.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CorinthiansDWDDD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
RB BragantinoLLDLD

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
CorinthiansRB Bragantino
29.2Attack48.1
75.0Defence77.8
58.3Form51.9
57.3Power58.0
0.55xG0.75
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