Corinthiansvs
Racing Montevideo
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/28/2024, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Corinthians are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Racing Montevideo are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Corinthians hold a 33.6-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00