GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/2/2023, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Corinthians are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Newells Old Boys are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Newells Old Boys hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 67.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CorinthiansWWDWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Newells Old BoysDLDWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CorinthiansNewells Old Boys
29.2Attack50.0
75.0Defence75.0
58.3Form70.8
57.3Power67.4
0.58xG0.80
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