CorinthiansvsNacional Asuncion

Corinthians are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Nacional Asuncion are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Corinthians hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.