Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Thursday, 16 July 202600:00Updated today
Corinthians

Corinthians

Home
D
vs
00:00
Maringá

Maringá

Away
WW
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Maringá36%
Draw35%
Corinthians29%
Most likely exact score1-2
Win probability
Corinthians
29%
Draw
35%
Maringá
36%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Corinthians
9
Maringá
86
Defence
Corinthians
91
Maringá
91
Momentum
Corinthians
33
Maringá
100
Danger (xG)
Corinthians
0.00
Maringá
2.25
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Corinthians)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Maringá)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (Corinthians)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Maringá)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
CorinthiansCorinthians
D
MaringáMaringá
WWDDL

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Corinthians29%
Draw35%
Maringá36%

Maringá leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Corinthians head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (D), while Maringá arrive in decent form (WW). Corinthians have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Maringá over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Corinthians (91/100) and Maringá (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Corinthians have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per home match. Maringá have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Corinthians and Maringá in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Maringá to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Corinthians 2893%, Draw 3500%, Maringá 3607%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Corinthians

Corinthians

D
vs Barra
14 May 2026
00
Maringá

Maringá

W
@ Anápolis
12 Jul 2026
10
W
vs Volta Redonda
4 Jul 2026
40
D
@ Inter De Limeira
27 Jun 2026
22
D
@ Ypiranga-RS
16 May 2026
11
L
vs Guarani Campinas
12 May 2026
05

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Corinthians vs Maringá?

GoalVio's model predicts Maringá to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Corinthians vs Maringá?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Corinthians vs Maringá?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Corinthians vs Maringá?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more