GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/2/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Corinthians are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Huracan are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Corinthians hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CorinthiansDWLWD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
HuracanDWWWW

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
CorinthiansHuracan
29.2Attack38.9
75.0Defence55.6
58.3Form27.8
57.3Power41.6
0.97xG0.61
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