Corinthiansvs
Fortaleza EC
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 9/25/2024, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Corinthians are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Fortaleza EC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 74.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fortaleza EC holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza EC
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60