GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 9/25/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Corinthians are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Fortaleza EC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 74.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fortaleza EC holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortaleza EC

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CorinthiansWWLWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Fortaleza ECWLDLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CorinthiansFortaleza EC
29.2Attack71.8
75.0Defence74.4
58.3Form76.9
57.3Power74.1
0.51xG1.19
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