Corinthiansvs
Estudiantes L.P.
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 9/17/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Corinthians 0-0 Estudiantes L.P., with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Corinthians 0-1 Estudiantes L.P.
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 49.1% | 38.6% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 30.2% | 34.5% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 4.51 | 20.7% | 26.9% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Projected Score
Corinthians 0–0 Estudiantes L.P.
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.5%
Model confidence
38.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CorinthiansLDLLL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Estudiantes L.P.WDLDW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CorinthiansEstudiantes L.P.
37.0Attack40.7
81.5Defence74.1
59.3Form51.9
60.8Power57.3
0.68xG0.59