Corinthiansvs
Estudiantes L.P.
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/23/2023, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estudiantes L.P. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Corinthians are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Estudiantes L.P. are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Estudiantes L.P. hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 74.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Estudiantes L.P. holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Estudiantes L.P.
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Estudiantes L.P. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40