GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 4/16/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Corinthians · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Corinthians are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cruzeiro are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.2 against 51.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Serie A, while Corinthians holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Corinthians

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Corinthians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CorinthiansLW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
CruzeiroLWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
CorinthiansCruzeiro
36.4Attack45.5
69.7Defence53.0
48.5Form50.0
53.2Power51.3
1.10xG0.75
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