Corinthiansvs
Argentinos JRS
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/15/2024, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Corinthians · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Corinthians are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Argentinos JRS are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Corinthians hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Corinthians holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Corinthians
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Corinthians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80