GGOALVIO

England · FA Trophy · 9/9/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hartley Wintney · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Corinthian-Casuals are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Hartley Wintney are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLLW), averaging 1.50 scored and 3.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hartley Wintney hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.4% in the FA Trophy, while Hartley Wintney holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hartley Wintney

Probability

34.4%

Model confidence

34.4%

Hartley Wintney has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Corinthian-CasualsL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Hartley WintneyLLLW

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.50/3.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 4/4
Corinthian-CasualsHartley Wintney
0.0Attack16.7
66.7Defence66.7
0.0Form50.0
23.7Power47.8
1.40xG1.40
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