Corianovs
Arconatese
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone D · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Coriano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Coriano 1-2 Arconatese
Original prediction
Coriano
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 50.5% | 41.3% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 27.7% | 28.4% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 4.07 | 21.8% | 30.3% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Coriano
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Coriano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20