Cordobésvs
Zacatepec 1948
COMPLETEDMexico · Primera Premier · 9/26/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zacatepec 1948 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cordobés 0-1 Zacatepec 1948
Original prediction
Zacatepec 1948
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 15:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.92 | 30.9% | 30.6% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.8% | 27.7% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.23 | 40.4% | 41.7% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Zacatepec 1948
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Zacatepec 1948 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20