Cordobésvs
Tigres de Alica
COMPLETEDMexico · Primera Premier · 10/10/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tigres de Alica · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cordobés 1-0 Tigres de Alica
Original prediction
Tigres de Alica
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 18:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 36.4% | 30.8% | -5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.9% | 28.7% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 36.7% | 40.5% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Tigres de Alica
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Tigres de Alica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00