Cordobésvs
Reboceros La Piedad
COMPLETEDMexico · Primera Premier · 9/12/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reboceros La Piedad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cordobés 1-2 Reboceros La Piedad
Original prediction
Reboceros La Piedad
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 15:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.4% | 30.4% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.7% | 26.2% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 35.8% | 43.3% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Reboceros La Piedad
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Reboceros La Piedad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00