Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eibar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cordoba 2-0 Eibar
Original prediction
Eibar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 12:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 44.0% | 27.3% | -16.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.9% | 23.8% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.19 | 29.2% | 48.9% | 19.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Eibar
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Eibar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CordobaWLWLW
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
EibarDLWWW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
CordobaEibar
50.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence63.3
40.0Form73.3
44.3Power68.2
1.09xG2.62