GGOALVIO

England · FA Trophy · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stafford Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Corby Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Stafford Rangers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Stafford Rangers hold a 57.5-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.9% in the FA Trophy, while Stafford Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stafford Rangers

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

9.9%

Stafford Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Corby TownLWDWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Stafford RangersDLWLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Corby TownStafford Rangers
0.0Attack88.9
33.3Defence44.4
0.0Form77.8
15.3Power72.8
1.46xG2.09
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