GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 9/2/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Coquimbo Unido · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Coquimbo Unido 1-0 Universidad de Concepcion, with an exact score probability of 17%.

Prediction record

Final result

Coquimbo Unido 1-0 Universidad de Concepcion

Original prediction

Coquimbo Unido

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5958.3%63.1%4.8 pts
Draw3.6325.5%23.1%-2.4 pts
Away5.7016.2%13.8%-2.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.8 pts

Projected Score

Coquimbo Unido 1–0 Universidad de Concepcion

Exact score probability: 17%

Predicted outcome

Coquimbo Unido

Probability

63.1%

Model confidence

63.1%

Coquimbo Unido has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Coquimbo UnidoLLDDD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Universidad de ConcepcionWLLLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Coquimbo UnidoUniversidad de Concepcion
43.3Attack26.7
58.3Defence43.3
43.3Form36.7
50.1Power38.7
1.63xG0.59
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