Primera DivisiónPrimera División
Saturday, 25 July 202620:00Updated today
Coquimbo Unido

Coquimbo Unido

Home
D
vs
20:00
Universidad de Concepcion

Universidad de Concepcion

Away
WL
GoalVio prediction
56% confidence
Coquimbo Unido(56%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Coquimbo Unido
56%
Draw
26%
Universidad de Concepcion
19%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Coquimbo Unido
34
Universidad de Concepcion
34
Defence
Coquimbo Unido
66
Universidad de Concepcion
82
Momentum
Coquimbo Unido
33
Universidad de Concepcion
50
Danger (xG)
Coquimbo Unido
0.90
Universidad de Concepcion
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Coquimbo Unido)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Universidad de Concepcion)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Coquimbo Unido)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Universidad de Concepcion)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido
WDWDW
Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion
WLLL

Probability breakdown

56% confidence
Coquimbo Unido56%
Draw26%
Universidad de Concepcion19%

Coquimbo Unido leads with 56% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Coquimbo Unido head into this in Primera División fixture in mixed form (D), while Universidad de Concepcion arrive in mixed form (WL). Coquimbo Unido have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for Universidad de Concepcion over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Coquimbo Unido (66/100) and Universidad de Concepcion (82/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Coquimbo Unido have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. Universidad de Concepcion have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Coquimbo Unido and Universidad de Concepcion in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Coquimbo Unido to win with 56% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Coquimbo Unido 5577%, Draw 2570%, Universidad de Concepcion 1853%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Coquimbo Unido

Coquimbo Unido

W
@ Union La Calera
9 Jul 2026
10
D
@ Deportes Limache
1 Jul 2026
11
W
@ San Marcos de Arica
27 Jun 2026
10
D
vs Deportes Limache
23 Jun 2026
11
W
vs Deportes Iquique
20 Jun 2026
30
Universidad de Concepcion

Universidad de Concepcion

W
vs Rangers de Talca
5 Jul 2026
20
L
vs Nublense
1 Jul 2026
01
L
@ Nublense
26 Jun 2026
24
L
@ Rangers de Talca
20 Jun 2026
12

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Concepcion?

GoalVio's model predicts Coquimbo Unido to win with 56% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Concepcion?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Concepcion?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Concepcion?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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