Coquimbo Unidovs
U. Catolica
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 8/26/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
U. Catolica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Coquimbo Unido 1-2 U. Catolica
Original prediction
U. Catolica
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 43.2% | 36.9% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.9% | 23.9% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 3.31 | 27.9% | 39.2% | 11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
U. Catolica
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
U. Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80