GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 8/26/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

U. Catolica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Coquimbo Unido are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while U. Catolica are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and U. Catolica hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (53.3 v 59.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Primera División, while U. Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

U. Catolica

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

11.8%

U. Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Coquimbo UnidoDDWLD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
U. CatolicaDWLDL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Coquimbo UnidoU. Catolica
47.1Attack74.1
58.8Defence51.9
49.0Form55.6
53.3Power59.7
1.43xG1.70
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