GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/12/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Coquimbo Unido are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sportivo Luqueno are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Coquimbo Unido hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 31.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Coquimbo UnidoWLWDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sportivo LuquenoLWDDL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Coquimbo UnidoSportivo Luqueno
23.8Attack19.0
66.7Defence47.6
38.1Form19.0
44.9Power31.9
1.01xG0.58
View match centre →