GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/24/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Coquimbo Unido are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Racing Club are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Club hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

37.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Coquimbo UnidoWDWWL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Racing ClubWWWLD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Coquimbo UnidoRacing Club
23.8Attack61.1
66.7Defence50.0
38.1Form44.4
44.9Power53.1
0.91xG1.11
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