GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 8/31/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Coquimbo Unido · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Coquimbo Unido 0-1 Huachipato

Original prediction

Coquimbo Unido

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4663.5%59.8%-3.7 pts
Draw4.2621.8%20.8%-1.0 pts
Away6.3014.7%19.4%4.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-3.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–09%

Predicted outcome

Coquimbo Unido

Probability

59.8%

Model confidence

59.8%

Coquimbo Unido has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Coquimbo UnidoLDDDD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
HuachipatoLLLLD

GF 6 · GA 17 · avg 1.20/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Coquimbo UnidoHuachipato
45.6Attack48.3
57.9Defence35.0
45.6Form40.0
51.5Power42.5
1.95xG1.09
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