GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 2/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Coquimbo Unido · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Coquimbo Unido are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Concepción are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Coquimbo Unido hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (53.3 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Primera División, while Coquimbo Unido holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Coquimbo Unido

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Coquimbo Unido has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Coquimbo UnidoLWWLD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ConcepciónDLLLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Coquimbo UnidoConcepción
47.1Attack37.0
58.8Defence57.4
49.0Form42.6
53.3Power47.4
1.31xG0.82
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