Coquimbo Unidovs
Colo Colo
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 10/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colo Colo · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Coquimbo Unido 5-2 Colo Colo
Original prediction
Colo Colo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.08 | 30.0% | 20.8% | -9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.6% | 23.3% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 2.18 | 42.4% | 55.9% | 13.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Colo Colo
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
55.9%
Colo Colo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20