GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/13/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Cooks Hill United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Weston Bears are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cooks Hill UnitedLWDWW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Weston BearsWWDDL

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Cooks Hill UnitedWeston Bears
61.9Attack76.2
46.0Defence47.6
47.6Form63.5
51.1Power62.4
2.07xG2.40
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