GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 6/7/2024, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cooks Hill United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Cooks Hill United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cooks Hill United hold a 36.1-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 14.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.5% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Cooks Hill United holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cooks Hill United

Probability

85.5%

Model confidence

85.5%

Cooks Hill United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cooks Hill UnitedLLDWL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Lake MacquarieLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 19 · avg 0.60/3.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Cooks Hill UnitedLake Macquarie
61.9Attack30.3
46.0Defence0.0
47.6Form6.1
51.1Power14.9
3.97xG0.83
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