GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 7/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Control Orientado are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Everton La Plata are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Control Orientado hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 30.3% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

30.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Control OrientadoLWWDL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Everton La PlataLLWWD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Control OrientadoEverton La Plata
36.1Attack16.7
61.1Defence69.4
47.2Form25.0
50.7Power40.0
0.74xG0.49
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